When will America's Economy Collapse Revealed (Updated: August 2011)

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By Mithan415

California is the Canary in the Coal Mine

Look for the Golden State to prompt the Collapse

Just about everyone who seriously follows the world's economy rolling collapse from Iceland to Greece to Ireland know that the United States is the biggest country at risk. With 14 trillion dollars in debt, 50 trillion in un-funded liabilities from Medicare, Social Security and other entitlements, the Earth's largest economy will eventually fail.

But when?

Many investors end up losing a fortune because they are right with their prediction but they are wrong with their timing. In order to protect yourself from the coming collapse of the United States economy, you have to look at the "Load bearing beams" of the country's economy might.

That brings us to California.

California. Too Big to fail. Too Dangerous to Bail Out

California is the eight largest economy in the world. The Golden State makes up 13% of the United States GDP. California is also in one of the worst economy shapes of any state in the country. In fact, if California were its own country, it would have defaulted on its debt a long time ago.

California's Collapse Will Create Havoc on the Western States

Besides the shear size of California, you have several fall-out factors from a collapse in California. There will be a a refugee problem, for one. California has some of the most generous entitlement programs for the poor. Eventually, the state will be unable to handle such charity. You could see millions of transient Californians move to other Western states and spread the social burden. Also, you could see a flight of businesses from the state creating an unexpected surge in unemployment. This will create a rolling effect that will wreck havoc on the West Coast of the U.S.


Why the United States won't be able to bailout California

In 2008, the world faced a real disaster. The Federal Reserve said that if the banks did not get a bailout, that there will be martial law. Congress caved. People were not happy. Flash forward a few years later. Banks are making record profits and the country is still facing crushing debt and unemployment.

Now, California will come to Washington with the same threat. "If you do not bail us out, there will be martial law."

Many people in Congress will want to write the check. But many more will not. And people who live outside of California will certainly not want to pay for their problems. 

And if Washington does decide to bailout California, then they will remove any incentive for any other state to be responsible with their budget. Why should Texas balance their budget? Or Nevada? Or New Jersey?


How to time the collapse of California and the U.S.

California will collapse. And the United States will not be able to bail out the eight largest economy in the world. This will prompt the doomsday crash everyone has been fearing. However, if you take the following steps, you will be able to time when this will happen so you will not be able to be caught off guard.

  • Create a Google alert for "California Bailout" - When California runs out of money, there will be talks about a bailout from Washington. This will be the first step in the collapse. There will be some debate about what to do. This will give you about a month to prepare.
  • Watch for sudden and unexpected resignations in California's cabinet - If you suddenly see the Treasurer of California resign or any other high-ranking member suddenly resign, then that is a clear sign that something is very wrong. It means the state is about to do something stupid. Or that there is no bail out. And the politician wants to distance him or herself to what will happen next. NOTE: Something like this usually happens on a Friday afternoon, during a holiday or on the weekend in order to make the least amount of impact.
  • Watch for news on California IOUs - A couple of years ago, California ran out of money and began to pay people in IOUs. The funny thing is, the IOUs were essentially worthless until the state redeemed them. You couldn't pay your California taxes in IOUs. And you could get cash for your IOUs, (from secondary markets), but you would be lucky to get 70% on the dollar. If the state begins to issue IOUs again, especially with a high interest rate (above 8%), then that is a sign that the state is not only broke but, they don't have a plan to pay back the IOUs.

How to Prepare for the Collapse

When California looks like it's about to go under, this will create huge problems in financial markets. When talk of of the California bailout start, begin to sell your investment holdings or hedge your positions with puts or inverse ETFs. You should also consider buying junk silver and have cash in your possession incase of a bank holiday.

If you live in California, you need to prepare as though a 9.0 Quake is coming

If you live in California, then the collapse of the state can become a statewide emergency. Consider what may happen.

  • Cities have no money - There may not be services like trash pick-up, reliable police, fire and ambulance. Take a look at the what happened in Tuscan for instance. When the congresswoman was shot in the head, it took 30 minutes for an ambulance to arrive because of budget cuts. 
  • Local banks may fail - If you have money in a local bank, it may fail. Don't worry, your money is protected up to $250,000, but you may have a hard time accessing that cash for a while. Make sure you have enough cash to hold you for a few weeks.
  • Surge in gas and food prices - People may begin to panic. And with that, there may be a run on food, in supermarkets and gas prices may surge. In fact, there may not be any gas if the economy is choked and stations can afford to put gas inventory into their stations. 
In short, you have to prepare as though "the big one" is coming. Don't rely on the state or Federal government agencies to help you. California has 45 million people. No government is big enough to quickly help everyone. 

Summary

The United States' economic situation is unsustainable. It will eventually collapse. And California is the giant load bearing beam that will send the house of cards tumbling down. Stay on top of California's economy situation. When talks of a California bail out start, that means the clock is ticking. Hedge your investments or sell your stocks. If you live in California, prepare as though a 9.0 quake is coming.

With the proper preparation, you will be able to anticipate and protect yourself from the collapse. And you will be able to emerge from the situation very far ahead from just about everyone else who never saw it coming.

August 2011 Update

As I write this, President Obama has just sign a bill which will raise the debt ceiling by 2 trillion dollars. The United States is heading past the point of no return. The massive baby boomer population will drain most the revenues via Social Security and Medicare.

One of the issues which is holding off American collapse is the collapse of the European Union. If Italy defaults, not even Germany will be able to bail them out. Europe will dissolve into chaos and possibly even wars between Northern Europe and Southern Europe.

The Rise of the Second Holy Roman Empire

I will be preparing an article on this subject matter. If you look at the PIIGS nations, you will notice that Greece, Portugal, Spain, Italy and Ireland are the most Christian and Catholic of a very secular European Union. In times of great tribulation, people turn to religion. And I believe that the PIIGS nation, sick of poverty and exploitation by the stronger European Unions, will form a Second Holy Roman Empire. This Empire will have an extremist element that may turn to terror as retribution against the Northern European nations.

I also believe that this Second Holy Roman Empire may find allies in the United States and Latin America, using Northern Europe and Islamic Nations as a perceived enemy.

California Collapse and the final United States Collapse

California is in deep trouble. They are heavily dependent on the Federal government for aid. And it looks like the state will have to either radically raise taxes or radically cut back on their public pensions/salaries and municipal services. Remember, as goes California, so goes the Nation.


Comments

quotations profile image

quotations Level 3 Commenter 16 months ago

I found your analysis very interesting and worrying.

Economic Freedom 16 months ago

When you allow the fox to run the hen house how can you expect anything else. You writing style is extraordinary. How do you think this can be reversed?

Mithan415 profile image

Mithan415 Hub Author 16 months ago

@Economic Freedom. Thank you for the compliment. Honestly, I don't know to reverse the trend. All I know is that the individual needs to prepare their own lifeboat/parachute. No government is able to provide bailouts, simultaneously, to companies, cities, states, unions and private citizens, without hyperinflation.

Glassy profile image

Glassy 16 months ago

A very interesting Hub Mithan. You are right about the US economy being unsustainable. The 2 pointless wars haven't helped the situation at all, it has only helped the companies involved in profiting from the wars and no one else.

Basically, the richest companies in the US have increased their profits thanks to the tax payer and the middle class and the poor are left with the bill and to make matters worse, the downward trend continues.

ahmar2 profile image

ahmar2 16 months ago

Well it is a unique way to see and perceive things and I don't necessarily agree with it however you still didn't mention the Time frame that when will this collapse happen.However I liked your writing style .

Mithan415 profile image

Mithan415 Hub Author 16 months ago

@ahmar2 Hi ahmar2. Thank you for the kind words. My timing is related to California defaulting on their debt. When California can't pay their bills and begins to ask Washington D.C. for a bailout, I believe we have a month to prepare before markets crash and general disruptions in credit and other financial operations. I don't know exactly when California will default. However, I can't see California remaining solvent for more than 2 years, at their current economic state.

Wesman Todd Shaw profile image

Wesman Todd Shaw 16 months ago

stock up on firearms and grow a vegetable garden, firewood, propane tanks, or natural gas tanks for cooking and heating. . . .solar panels, so forth and so on.

Great info :-P

AllSuretyBonds profile image

AllSuretyBonds Level 3 Commenter 15 months ago

Nice Hub with great information. I agree with you that the economy is very unsustainable right right now and that it is just going to get worse and eventually collapse. I think its a great idea to start preparing now for whats to come.

Mr Tindle profile image

Mr Tindle 15 months ago

California is definitely a crisis point along with allot of other states. The banking system is still papering over lots of big losses too.

safiq ali patel profile image

safiq ali patel 15 months ago

I like the content of your hub. I have learnt a little about Calafornia that I did not know. But I would like to have know how the economies of the other states in the American union are doing too.

Mithan415 profile image

Mithan415 Hub Author 15 months ago

@Safiq ali Patel

Thank you for reading my hub. States with big cities and many poor people such as New York, Illinois, and New Jersey are in trouble mainly due to high debts, unions and welfare. These states tend to be a huge overall percentage of the United State's economy. And a default by one state can hurt all the states around it.

MikeNV profile image

MikeNV Level 4 Commenter 15 months ago

"Don't worry, your money is protected up to $250,000"

This won't happen. Fiat money is just that. The paper will be useless.

The Federal Government has already loaned $8 Billion to California. Think about that... were does the Federal Government get money to loan?

The Federal Government returns only 75 cents on the Dollar back to the State of California so the State of California has traditionally subsidized other states.

The reality is that the FIAT Money that is floating the supposed "Recovery" is actually causing the value of the dollar to decrease. The recovery is on paper only... not in the lives of the masses.

When you look hard at what is going on you realize that the Ponzi Scheme that is the Central Bank/Federal Reserve is collapsing under it's own weight.

You have to ask yourself who we owe all this money to?

Who is lending this money? Some people would say China... but that's a very small amount.

The money is "owed" to the Criminal Banking Cartel that runs the Federal Reserve. They did not earn the money... they simply printed it then handed it out and told the American People to pay them interest on the money they printed. It's insane that people do not know this!!!

So what is happening now is there is a huge push towards a "Green Economy"... this means two things. The paper money will continue to grow worthless. And there will be a giant push this year for "Clean Energy"... and the resulting "Carbon Taxes". These taxes will be the final straw in collapsing the Dollar. By that time the Criminal Bankers will have completed full ownership and title to all the land and assets that matter.

You'll be left with no true ownership of anything. There will be martial law and the military will determine who gets to stay and live where. Then a new currancy will be put into place... most likely electronic. All your transactions will be tracked and automatically taxed. The freedoms we once enjoyed will be gone. People will be at the mercy of the Socialist Government. And the ability to speak out and defend the ideals and beliefs we once had will be gone.

We will go from mere debt slaves to slaves of the state.

Hxprof Level 3 Commenter 15 months ago

Informative piece. I do keep up on America's race towards bankruptcy, but wasn't aware of some of the specifics about California.

One other comment: When the US economy collapses, what do you believe this will mean for our nation militarily? Seems to me it would be a perfect opportunity for America's enemies to pounce....

Mithan415 profile image

Mithan415 Hub Author 15 months ago

@Hxprof Thanks for reading my hub. I believe other countries will not "invade" us in the conventional sense. However, they will exploit us the ways America, other powerful Nations, exploited poorer countries. If you have the chance read about "Confessions of an Economic Hitman" by John Perkins. This will show you what will happen to America.

Countries like China will be happy to loan us all the money we want. In return, we'll have to allow their drilling companies to build rigs off of our coastline. And we'll have to allow China to mine for resources in our national parks, with no regard for environmental or safety regulation. And they will hire Americans, at below minimum wage, to slave in their mines, rigs and other resource based businesses.

Spartangirl profile image

Spartangirl 15 months ago

Great posts. If the dollar becomes worthless, what do you recommend for financial protection for the long-term?

Thank you.

Mithan415 profile image

Mithan415 Hub Author 15 months ago

@Spartangirl

Thanks for reading my blog. To answer your question, If you have a lot of investment assets (for instance, over $50,000 in stock), I would recommend having 20% to 25% in gold and silver coins. In hyperinflation, gold and silver will go up manyfold and off set the losses of your paper and dollar wealth. However, if you don't have investment assets, I would recommend having access to cheaper food - growing your own garden, storing food. The overall recommendation is to be less dependent on the government. Our lives will be similar to that of people in developing countries (unreliable electricity, slow police, fire, ambulance response, unreliable banks). I highly recommend this blog http://ferfal.blogspot.com/ It is written by a guy who survived the collapse in Argentina, which was once one of the richest countries on Earth. Also, if you the time check out this blog cluborlov.blogspot.com/ It was written by an Russian-American who witnessed the sudden collapse of the Soviet Union.

Spartangirl profile image

Spartangirl 15 months ago

Mithan415 ~

Thanks so much for the information and the links. Getting a realistic picture of what life might actually be like is something I truly value. I still own a little property I inherited in a farm community in the Midwest - sounds like it may be wise to hold on to it.

I've bought some precious metals (and commodity ETF's, too.) How do you feel about buying foreign currency? Jim Rogers is bullish on the Renminbi, and Peter Schiff is also recommending foreign currency ETF's. He feels it adds a measure of safety because accessing funds will be through a brokerage (vs. bank) when a portion of the stock is sold to meet needs.

Thanks again.

Mithan415 profile image

Mithan415 Hub Author 15 months ago

Hey Spartangirl,

The Farmland is the best asset you could possibly have. I think it was Jim Rogers who said that it will be the farmers who will be driving the Ferraris in the 21st century. The precious metals and commodity ETF are great investments. I don't know much about foreign currency. However, I would favor countries that are energy exporters such as Canada, Norway and Australia. Thanks.

Spartangirl profile image

Spartangirl 15 months ago

Thank you, Mithan415. Greatly appreciate your insights. SG

Fay Paxton 15 months ago

I don't think there's any concern for collapse. All that is necessary is to restructure and monetize the ponzi scheme.

ForkArtJunkie profile image

ForkArtJunkie 15 months ago

I voted this up. Interesting Hub. If you ever have the time, I would like you to write another one in more detail about what to expect if the economy collapses. If our ecomomy collapses in the US, we provide many overseas jobs, we buy so many products from around the world...I think most of the world economy would collapse. If so, How long do you think it would last?

Mithan415 profile image

Mithan415 Hub Author 15 months ago

@ForkArtJunkie

Thanks for reading my hub and for the positive review. I will certainly try to write a Hub on what will happen in America when it collapses. But if you want a good idea of what could happen, I would recommend you read ClubOrlov.Blogspot.com This blog is written by Dmitry Orlov. He lived in the Soviet Union when it collapsed as he sees many parallels between what happened in the Soviet Union and what will happen here.

ForkArtJunkie profile image

ForkArtJunkie 15 months ago

@Mithan415

Thanks, I haven't read it all over yet - But, I went to that blog and have it bookmarked. It may seem like a basic question, but trying to get my head around what daily life might be like for people were there such a "collapse."

ForkArtJunkie profile image

ForkArtJunkie 15 months ago

@Mithan415

Just started reading...This was on that blog you mentioned...

https://docs.google.com/Doc?id=dtxqwqr_19gjjvp8

Exactly what I was looking for. He even mentions the upside, like we'll get more exercise - LOL.

Mithan415 profile image

Mithan415 Hub Author 15 months ago

@ForkArtJunkie

Here is an 88 minute lecture Dmitry did for the Longnow Foundation on the Soviet Collapse and America's future. http://fora.tv/2009/02/13/Dmitry_Orlov_Social_Coll

It pretty much sums up everything from his blog. It's a great video.

OpinionDuck profile image

OpinionDuck 15 months ago

Perhaps the solution is the divide this single state of diverse interests into several more better managed and functional states.

See my hub for details.

Thanks

crystolite profile image

crystolite 14 months ago

Nice hub that can also serve as a documentary.

Greg 9 months ago

Just happened upon this web site for the first time (8/3/11) The comments are about a half year old now. I wonder what further incites you have regarding the condition of California since writing the original article? Thanks.

Mithan415 profile image

Mithan415 Hub Author 9 months ago

@Greg. Hi, Greg. Thanks for reading the article. I'll put an update up in the next day or so. I will say that we are pretty much at the point of no return. America's collapse is only being held off by the fact that Europe will collapse first. And many people are still flocking to the U.S. dollar as a safe haven. However, that will soon be replaced by gold and silver.

Hikapo profile image

Hikapo 9 months ago

Market futures tanked another 2% as of now.

Gold futures just made a new high $1699.50.

Thanks for the hub. I live in California, and I am going to prepare for this.

brad 9 months ago

well articulated. doesn't seem too far away though...

TOTAL BS 8 months ago

Never going to happen.

Frannie Dee profile image

Frannie Dee Level 4 Commenter 7 months ago

Thanks for this perspective...lots to research and think through. However, accepting colapse as inevitable is not in the American culture. We find solutions and resolve problems. Can it really be too late for a solution?

naumaan profile image

naumaan 5 months ago

History repeats itself. Its happening what its written in this article. US is now very much dependent on China, as we have seen that EU asked China to help in bail out of Greece.

Very well written article. I first read this article many months ago but its unbelievable for me, and now its almost proved now.

Let see who will be the next super power !!!

VisionPresident profile image

VisionPresident 7 weeks ago

Glad to see that there are people out there who are honest with our situation, logical in our application, and reasonable in our assumptions. Any chance you could run for office?

I am in California and I'm doing my best to prepare for the collapse of our Great Society. Hard for me to go down without a fight though... does the "Us" really need to die before We the People start caring enough to choose a new course?

"By failing to prepare, you are preparing to fail." - Benjamin Franklin

"If a nation expects to be ignorant and free, in a state of civilization, it expects what never was and never will be." - Thomas Jefferson

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